NFL Pass Completion % Career Leaders - Pro-Football-Reference.com drewbrees, PFR HOF Monitor: 140.58 (7th among QB, average HOF QB is 104.14). It seems like those three were more productive than Brisset even when Brisset was compensated for external factors. If there are others out there to compare to I'd love to read them to get a wider range of opinions. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. The biggest surprise from charting the 2017 season was the quality of Jacoby Brissetts play. Gardner Minshew has one of the weaker arms in the league, so this is proof that exceptional deep passing is not about arm strength but rather accuracy, timing and anticipation. Cian and John are the only two writers I know that chart every QB's accuracy and publish their data like this. Kizer had six red zone interceptions, twice as many as any other quarterback, even though he had only 43 red zone attempts, 28th in the league. His adjusted yards for 22 completions is (674 + 4*20 - 1*45) = 709 yards. Are Drew Brees's Days As a Deep-Ball Artist Behind Him? While the attempt-difference question remains, of the 8 QBs who had less than a 10-attempt difference & 60 or more attempts total (by John's study), the rank-change was +7 (in John's) to -2. had a passer rating of 97.1 with 8,695 yards, 54 touchdowns and 27 interceptions in 29 games against the. Please enter a valid email and try again. He has not been a great downfield passer for a while, lacking the precision he has shown in the short and intermediate areas of the field. What's the catch? Copyright: ESPN Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved. Which teams crushed the draft, and which came up short? I agree that the penalty seems overly harsh. Henderson ran track at LSU and recorded a 4.36-second 40-yard dash at the NFL combine. There is a wider variety of scenarios that play into accurate passes aside from the typical uncontested drop. Kyler Murray is tied with Brees at 51 percent. A lot of it has to do with coach Sean Payton and offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael engineering efficient throws: According to the NFLs Next Gen Stats, 51 percent of Breess passes this season have been characterized as open or wide-open, meaning no defender was within 3 yards of the pass target when it arrived; only three qualified passers (Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jimmy Garoppolo) made more of their throws to receivers so lightly covered.2. The reason his efficiency score doesn't rank higher is because he forced a giant amount of dropped picks for his sample size. Thanks to PFF Premium Stats 2.0 which is available with a PFF ELITE subscription we can see how quarterbacks perform in this critical area each season, but lets go a step deeper and rank those quarterbacks by PFF grade on deep passes, rather than by any production-based deep passing metric that is heavily influenced by the receiver at the catch point and the coverage the ball was thrown into. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. 3fg%. Alex Smith had 1802 adjusted yards. Dialing back his aggressiveness actually seemed to help his efficiency, though his PFF grade doesnt match the output, thanks in large part to DeVante Parker Mossing players like Stephon Gilmore down the stretch. And yet, New Orleans has started the season with at least four wins in its first six games for a fourth consecutive year, and Brees is seventh in the NFL in Total QBR.1 Brees has been trending in this direction for a while, but he is now pushing the absolute limits of how much a quarterback can accomplish without having the arm to back it up. In that August story about Breess offseason program, ESPN looked back at the QBs career attempts to targets deeper than 35 yards downfield. This is a number that will have Justin Herbert starting for the Chargers sooner rather than later. Trubisky completed just 34.4% of his deep shots for only 10.4 yards per attempt, and thats with Allen Robinson II winning jump balls at a high rate. Drew Lock weighs 228 lbs (103 kg). But watching him play, he doesnt seem convinced that it worked. Russell Wilson was solid, but not nearly as efficient as in previous seasons. That and more from a full weekend of picks. Darnold is now entering his third season of football with as many questions surrounding his prospects as there were when he was drafted. Todd McShay breaks down the Eagles' draft that netted them Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith among others. Even then, his accuracy in that area was still above average. I just said you should give credit to the WR for allowing the QB to make an easier read and throw because when that WR gets hurt or leaves in free agency, that ability goes with him. College Football at Sports-Reference.com Blog and Articles. Prison Camps for Grannies: Breaking Down Episode 6 of Succession. Well, head coach Bill O'Brien went away from the play-action, read-option offense he provided to Watson and gave Savage an offense that forced him to throw tight-window passes at the rate of Aaron Rodgers. The success levels for other short-tossing quarterbacks have varied. Starter could be replaced for performance reasons. Stephen A. Smith details why Lamar Jackson is better positioned for a Super Bowl run than Aaron Rodgers. . The Ravens are declining linebacker Patrick Queen's fifth-year option, a source told ESPN. From a Colts fan perspective, I don't remember their being complaints about Brissett's deep ball. Get the latest news, stats, videos, highlights and more about quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. What's the point of that? For the Cincinnati Bengals, we ranked Andy Dalton rather than embarking on the pointless exercise of comparing Joe Burrows college stats to NFL equivalents (though if you wanted to see Burrows deep passing numbers, youd find them in PFFs 2020 NFL Draft Guide). How much can Joel Embiid give the Sixers against the Celtics? All rights reserved. Transporting him into an offense with some of the best deep targets in football should see him catapulted back into the top 10 in 2020. Allen can get the ball as deep as he wants it pretty much any time he wants to, and though he dialed it back in Year 2, he still went deep at the sixth-highest rate in the league. Pro Football Focus has tracked quarterbacks deep passes (defined as passes thrown to targets more than 20 yards downfield) since 2006. By comparison, Mahomes had four fewer of these big-time throws but they ended up in six more scores. Use promo code, C.J. Without any further digressions, here is how the leagues quarterbacks graded on deep passes, passes thrown at least 20 yards downfield, in 2019. Or, in what counted as a fairly-targeted pass (not hit, etc)). Drew Brees - College Football at Sports-Reference.com Drew Brees had a passer rating of 97.1 with 8,695 yards, 54 touchdowns and 27 interceptions in 29 games against the Falcons in his career. Jeff Legwold explains why the Broncos picked up Jerry Jeudy's rookie option. Does Brees still have this string to his bow? If we scale it by 39/22 that is 1257 yards. After all the passes are tallied up, the final number of points is divided by the amount of downfield passes. Drew Brees (67.7%), 3. Sometimes the only way to have chance at a completion, due to the coverage, is to force the receiver to adjust to the ball. But you can't isolate a QB from his surroundings. Now Hell Face LeBron and the Lakers. Only three quarterbacks lost more completions and only three quarterbacks lost more yards. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. The problem is that you can't even come close to evaluating the strength of the study with 2-3 gifs per QB. the greatest statistical quarterback in NFL history, NFL Power Rankings: The War of Attrition Leaves Some Teams Scrambling. That inaccurate completions number is a perfect illustration of Keenum's luck last year and why the Vikings were right to let him go. In that August story about Brees's. Ryan Tannehills arrival last season changed the teams fortunes and transformed the Titans offense. And as expected, he couldn't even compare to Aaron Rodgers. Clutch Yes. Interpreted as: Drew Brees deep ball passing accuracy career. Consistently excellent deep accuracy was a rare commodity last season but Brissett was one of the best at creating big plays with his arm. Plus Andrew Callahan on the Pats Draft, and a Preview of Celtics-Sixers With Raheem Palmer. Allen needs to find the touch to go with that cannon because its frankly inexcusable that a player with his kind of arm talent is this bad at passing deep. (So does Taysom Hill.). Of course a QB could also be overly-aggressive or a poor decision-maker. That is, did their attempts contain all the discrepancies between the 2 methodologies (& thus had hugely different rankings). How big of a role did Sean Payton play in Drew . Are these numbers consistent from year to year? The player with arguably the leagues strongest arm is arguably the leagues worst deep passer. Outside of that, though, his accuracy to every other distance was dismal. While Andy Dalton was a pedestrian deep passer, the Bengals will be hoping that Joe Burrow is entirely different. When was Drew Brees drafted? Even McLaurin was responsible for dropping one of Haskins best passes, which would have moved the needle on his numbers given his low sample size, but the PFF grade accounts for that, and the grade was also bad. Grading Every Teams Performance in the 2023 NFL Draft. 1. Drew Brees had 571 touchdowns over his career. Career Stats: Brees: 249 Games, 66.9% completion, 70,445 yards, 488TDs, 228 Ints, QB Rating 96.7. After Cooks, the Saints traded for Ted Ginn, who ran a 4.38 40-yard dash. For example, Brisett goes from 22/60 to 39/60 because he gets credited with 19 accurate incompletions. His scouting report says he struggles with the deep ball because he had a low completion percentage - its possible his receivers just stunk. Jimmy Garoppolo has an excellent grade on these plays, but he attempted just 31 deep shots all season the fewest among full-time starting quarterbacks. So you're saying that accurate measurement of QB performance isn't possible then, because the QB can't be credited or criticized for making the smart play? In comparison to previous years when he was a downfield passing master, Roethlisberger's decision-making was awful last year, constantly making questionable throws to the point where he looked like he was chucking the ball up regardless if the receiver was open or not. (Was there THAT big of a difference in 15/16 yard "hard to tell" discrepancies? The Broncos on Monday picked up wide receiver Jerry Jeudy's fifth-year rookie option. Making that throw under both scenarios adds two points to make the throw worth eight total points. Do they have predictive value? . All rights reserved. Let's consider that the Eagles gave Nick Foles the second-highest rate of play-action when Wentz was lost for the season. Winston, Prescott & Brissett ranked 6, 7, & 7 spots better with John (and 8.6, 12.3, 14.2% better, or 3.7, 7.4, & 9.3% if you subtract the 4.9% average increase). He played only two seasons with the Saints, but caught four 50-yard touchdowns from Brees. While this is a surprise considering how bad the 49ers offensive line was last year, Kyle Shanahan's creative use of play-action and misdirection kept defenses guessing and made the pass protection look much better than it had any right to be. He managed this despite playing with some of the least efficient receivers of 2017 (even Delanie Walker let him down) as well as being in a Mike Mularkey offense that gave him great protection but very few open windows.