In addition, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested to determine the membership of the 119th United States . [109], Representatives Bill Huizenga and Lisa McClain, former Representative Peter Meijer, state Senator Ruth Johnson, 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kevin Rinke, and former Detroit Chief of Police James Craig[110] are also considered possible Republican candidates. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast. Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire. On February 22, 2023, Tester announced he is running for a fourth term. U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight [28] However, due to his role in a worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, Scott is seen as potentially vulnerable to a primary challenge. } What 2022 tells us about the 2024 electoral map - POLITICO Ruben Gallego. What an amazing inspirational day of promise and charge to take our seat in the US Senate. [42][114], Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was narrowly re-elected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government. [45] However, all three candidates quickly began raising large sums of money; for example, in the first 24 hours of her campaign, Porter raised over $1.3 million. [55], 2022 Senate nominee Mehmet Oz, 2022 Senate primary candidate David McCormick, and 2022 gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano are considered potential Republican candidates. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 [3] Representative Elissa Slotkin is running for the Democratic nomination. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not. Some in the GOP hope it's not for good. [105], Former Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito (2015-2023) is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. Others represent perennial battlegrounds, like Jon Tester of Montana and Joe Manchin of West Virginia, both of whom survived the 2018 midterm cycle that evicted four colleagues from red or swing states. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. (ret.) Republicans will also benefit from the fact that the 2024 California Republican presidential primary, which will be held on the same day as the Senate primary, is expected to be hotly contested and entice Republican voters to turn out in higher numbers.[30][28]. All Rights Reserved. 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio - Wikipedia And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Am I undecided? Republicans Still Have A Clear Path To Retaking The Senate In 2024 Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Return here to share it. Most election predictors used: As of May 2023, One Republican and three Democrats have announced plans to retire. [126] Former Representative of New York's 1st congressional district and Republican nominee for Governor of New York in 2022, Lee Zeldin, has not ruled out seeking the Republican nomination to challenge Gillibrand. The 2024 Senate playing field starts to take shape - CNN 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland - Wikipedia Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. Could 2024 Senate race beckon? (Rankings are based on. [70], Due to Sinema's opposition to some of President Joe Biden's agenda, she is considered vulnerable to challengers from the Democratic Party,[71] with U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego running for the Democratic nomination. 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024. [86] Possible Republican candidates include lobbyist Robert Hyde and lawyer Peter Lumag. But when she does, these contenders have the best shot at her seat", "California Senate race gets crowded with 3 progressive Democrats already in the running", "Mayor London Breed opposes her extra year in office", "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", "Sen. Dianne Feinstein announces she will retire from Congress", "Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna announces he won't seek California Senate seat, endorses Rep. Barbara Lee", "Eleni Kounalakis first to launch campaign for California governor in 2026", "California's 2024 U.S. Senate race could be a hot one", "Mayors London Breed and Sheng Thao endorse Barbara Lee for U.S. Senate at Oakland rally", "Rep. Katie Porter announces bid for Dianne Feinstein's Senate seat", "GOP attorney Eric Early announces Senate campaign", "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting", "James Bradley FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy", "California Republicans, buoyed by congressional wins, have no obvious Senate prospects", "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race", "California Republicans will have rare power in 2024. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she is seeking reelection, despite previously declaring an intention to retire. Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024. The GOP Is Trying To Tilt Montana's Senate Race In Its Favor. [119], One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. -moz-columns: 1; 559 V. A-Public Policy Polling. The party, which currently holds a narrow 51-49 majority, must defend 23. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Will the party let him? West Virginia. [89], Former Governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will not run for a seat in the US Senate next year, according to her office, clearing the way for incumbent New York senator . [6] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. On May 1, 2023, he announced that he would not be seeking . [120][121][122][123][124], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. 2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress. [103][104], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. U.S. Congress elections, 2014. Kaine is running for re-election to a third term in office. Incumbent five-term Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein was first elected in a 1992 special election, defeating Republican incumbent John Seymour. Of the 33 Senate seats up for election next term, 23 are held by Democrats. | The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio.Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running for reelection to a fourth term in office. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings. Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing . No candidates. Thats very gratifying, but its its a bit early to be deciding. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. [68] She has filed paperwork to run for a second term, but has not made an official announcement. When counted with a party, the map will display a striped result. I know she will do the state of California proud as the only Black woman in the United States Senate. The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. 0. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a . because some [Republicans] will lose. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. Another battleground-state senator up in 2024, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, could face a primary challenge from Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) as well as a competitive general election. [115], U.S. [44], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. Congressman Mike Gallagher (WI-08), former Congressman Sean Duffy (2011-2019), Congressman Bryan Steil (WI-01), and businessman Scott Mayer[151] are seen as potential Republican challengers.[152]. t. e. The 2024 United States Senate election in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Jim Justice announces run for Senate, setting up potential challenge to Manchin", "Joe Manchin gets a GOP challenger for his West Virginia Senate seat", "GOP candidates, voters rally in Weirton", "Tammy Baldwin launches re-election bid, setting up 2024 Senate battle in Wisconsin", "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate", "Sinema files campaign papers, but re-election decision unclear", "Key senators torn over retirement decisions as party leaders try to fortify 2024 standing | CNN Politics", "Kyrsten Sinema 'Staggeringly Vulnerable' in 2024 After Filibuster Vote", "Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? He is being challenged by artist Cris Ericson, a perennial candidate. | POLITICO illustration/Photos by AP, Getty Images, iStock. I appreciate that you have a terrific audience and a lot of people read you but youre not my vector for an announcement., Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) in an interview. Geoff Bennett: Arizona is always a closely watched state. [146] Governor Glenn Youngkin, who will be term-limited in 2025, is considered a possible Republican candidate. [145][142], Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote.
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